Starting Fantasy Lineup
Jun
03
2010

Rookie Training Camp part 3: The Regular Season

POSTED BY Big Jim | No Comments »

Now that the draft has ended, you will be able to do the following things:

  •      Add and drop players
  •      Set your weekly lineup
  •      View the schedule of your opponents
  •      View the league’s standings

First of all, let’s discuss adding and dropping players. As stated above, this can be done in a couple of different ways. The fairest and most common method is what is called waivers. This a method of allowing everyone in the league a chance to make a claim for a player, and after a certain amount of time, the player with the highest waiver priority that made a claim gets the player. This is where it gets a little tricky; waiver priority is decided (primarily) in one of two ways. The first way is after each week, the player last in the overall league standings has the highest priority, and the player first in the standings has the lowest waiver priority. The other way to handle waivers is to start the beginning of the season in reverse draft order, and then when someone makes a claim off waivers they become the lowest priority. (Note, this is how it works throughout the course of the week for the first waivers system however with this method the priority would not reset from week to week.) You should be adding players to improve your team wherever possible. Many people think that if their team is winning or doing ok they shouldn’t try to fix what is not broken, however that truism does not apply here. Making smart and responsible waiver claims on a weekly basis can help you make the playoffs, or can help you win in the playoffs. Have any of you heard of Miles Austin?

The next thing to worry about is setting your lineup. This and making roster moves go hand in hand, when a starting player is on bye week or injured you do not always have a capable backup ready to go. While the core of your lineup may not change on a week to week basis, this does not mean that the 2nd or 3rd players at running back or wide receiver should not be changing. If you have done a good job drafting and managing your roster then you should have multiple options each week for some positions. The following is a breakdown of what you are looking for and should expect from each position on your team:

QB: The quarterback position is important, but not crucial. Unlike real football, you can have a weak player at QB and still be successful. A typical game for a QB is 200 yards or so and 2 touchdowns. For this position look for consistency rather than potential for a big game.

RB: The running back position is the most important by far. Just about every team in the league strives for a consistent and effective running game, and a good portion of teams have one feature back that will touch the ball 20-30 times each week. Because of the large number of touches that a feature back will see, they are a threat to score large points every week. In addition if they are the primary short yardage running back, they will see the goal line touches as well.

WR: The ranking of wide receivers varies significantly from week to week. This is not typically the case for most elite receivers, but for most all of them it is. The position is not known for its consistency, and the rankings are often heavily impacted by the quality of the opposing defense. The wide receiver position is one of the most difficult to predict, however with the nature of the passing game big game potential is a big factor when choosing who to start.

TE: The tight end position is very difficult to predict, when considering matchup your primary concern is the opposing defense’s linebackers and to a lesser extent safeties. With that said Tight Ends are a relief valve for their QB and adept and creating mismatches in the passing game. Play the most talented guy you have at the position and do not over think it.

K: Kickers are realistically not all that important. When deciding which kicker to draft, try to pick one that is on a team with a good offense. This will ensure that there are more opportunities to get opportunities for your kicker.

D/ST: The Defense and Special Teams unit is a pretty important spot on your team. Consistency is essential at this position. The Steelers, Vikings, and Ravens are very possibly the best three fantasy defenses of the decade because of their ability to stop the run and rush the passer. Each of these teams has had a LONG streak of games without allowing a 100 yard rusher.

Preparing for the Playoffs

As the end of the season rolls around, you are in one of three scenarios. The first of which is that you have done pretty poorly this year, and have no mathematical chance to make the playoffs. In this scenario the wrong thing to do is to ignore your team and stop setting your lineup. This will destroy the integrity of the league, you need to remain active in free agency and embrace the role of spoiler. No one should make the playoffs because you started an injured quarterback while you weren’t paying attention and gave someone a free win.

The second scenario is that you are still in the running but have not secured your spot yet. This is the most common scenario and whether you are on the outside looking in or clinging to the one of the last spots available, your strategy will not change. Every game is a must win. Each week you do whatever is necessary to win the next game. You can’t win in the playoffs if you do not make it there, pick up any backups that are starting for one week if need be. If your opponent has a high scoring team you need to take some chances with sleepers.

The third scenario is that you have secured your spot in the playoffs, and you have the chance to use the waiver wire to improve your chances in the playoffs. At the end of the season a new term gets used in fantasy football, it’s the word “handcuff”. A handcuff is a backup at a position with a stud player. By picking up backups to your own best players you ensure productivity even in the event of an injury. Also, be on the lookout for backups that are very talented that may not be able to see the carries from the number two spot to be super productive. This past season the handcuffs that paid off due to injury were Ricky Williams and Jonathan Stewart. Another great example was Chester Taylor as a handcuff to Adrian Peterson. Taylor is a very skilled back capable of handling a feature back’s workload.

That’s all for the regular season, just the playoffs left!

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Feb
03
2010

The NFL Playoffs: What have they taught us?

POSTED BY Big Jim | No Comments »

This is an interesting time to do some scouting very early for next year’s fantasy football team and now is the best time to start taking notes on players that made the Playoffs.

Among the biggest stand-out teams in this year’s playoffs are the New York Jets.  The player everyone will want to know about is Mark Sanchez, and I don’t see any way that Sanchez is a viable fantasy option outside of very deep formats.  The forecast that I see for him is similar to that of Joe Flacco.  His performance this season was streaky, but he made plays when it mattered most and he will continue to do so.  I think the Jets are likely to repeat a playoff berth and possibly even win the division.  With that said the player I see making the biggest impact on fantasy rosters next season is Shonn Greene.  The way Ryan and the Jets used him at the end of the season led me to believe that Thomas Jones was worn out.  I would expect Greene to take the majority of the work starting early next year so that Jones is able to contribute the entire season.  I envision Jones getting most the short yardage work and splitting goal-line carries with Greene, who will take up the primary rushing role.  Braylon Edwards will likely remain a Jet going into next season but when you think about drafting him think about the pass that bounced off his face mask in the the open field against Buffalo, because no matter who throws the ball Edwards has a problem with drops.

Another team that I felt stood out was the Baltimore Ravens.  With how young Flacco is it would be hard for them to be playing instead of Manning and the Colts, but all this post-season time he is seeing early in his career will help him to develop into a premiere QB in the league.  He may not yet be a starting Fantasy Football QB but that is not much his fault… If the Ravens can get some deeper talent at WR he will end up top 10 at his position next season.  Ray Rice never slowed down, all season.  He gained respect among Fantasy owners every time he touched the football this season and the Playoffs was no different.  He is a threat in both dimensions of the offense and will mature with the rest of that offensive unit.  I also respect the Ravens because of their Defense, which at times struggled and faced injuries to big play-makers but they kept Flacco and their offense in almost every game and they will lead the Ravens back to the Playoffs again next year.

The biggest disappointment this post season was the Cincinnati Bungals.  They swept their division by playing smart and disciplined in all three phases and with a punishing run game.  These are the most important elements to playoff football, but they still broke down at the end and took an early exit against the Jets.  I saw great things come from the Bengals all season and after the unfortunate passing of their teammate, they never quite seemed the same.  Not that this is why, but it definitely crushed the momentum they had built for themselves and following that incident Cedric Benson was ROBBED of Comeback Player of the Year and they were snubbed by the Pro Bowl.  All these distractions broke the focus of the team down and cost them a chance to make a deep run into the playoffs.  Next season they are hopefully able to retain focus deep into the year and Palmer has one last shot to win a Super Bowl because after that they may need a new QB.

Hard to call losing with such a profound effort a disappointment but I expected the Packers to go deep this year, not out in the first round.  It made for a fitting end to Warner’s career who is too often forgotten as one of the most incredible football players of our time, but I view it like the Packers do, a loss, and a big one.  Rodgers has yet to step up and really fill the shoes of Favre, and lasting long enough to beat him (or even face him) in the Playoffs would have done just that.  Next year will be another phenomenal fantasy campaign for Rodgers and a fair few Packers, but that is little consolation if they are one and done in the post season again next season.

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Dec
29
2009

Quarterback Rankings for Week 17

POSTED BY Big Jim | No Comments »
  1. Tom Brady
  2. Matt Schaub
  3. Ben Roethlisberger
  4. Drew Brees
  5. Jay Cutler
  6. Alex Smith
  7. Philip Rivers
  8. Aaron Rodgers
  9. Tony Romo
  10. Joe Flacco
  11. Donovan McNabb
  12. Brett Favre
  13. Matt Ryan
  14. Kyle Orton
  15. Matt Moore
  16. Chad Henne
  17. David Garrard
  18. Vince Young
  19. Peyton Manning
  20. Mark Sanchez
  21. Kurt Warner
  22. Matt Hasselbeck
  23. Eli Manning
  24. Josh Freeman
  25. Carson Palmer
  26. Derek Anderson
  27. Jason Campbell
  28. Matt Cassel
  29. Keith Null
  30. Charlie Frye
  31. Drew Stanton
  32. Brian Brohm
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Dec
29
2009

Running Back Rankings for Week 17

POSTED BY Big Jim | No Comments »
  1. Chris Johnson
  2. Ray Rice
  3. Frank Gore
  4. Maurice Jones-Drew
  5. Adrian Peterson
  6. Jonathan Stewart
  7. Knowshon Moreno
  8. Rashard Mendenhall
  9. Jamaal Charles
  10. Matt Forte
  11. Ryan Grant
  12. Marion Barber
  13. Thomas Jones
  14. Jerome Harrison
  15. Donald Brown
  16. Fred Jackson
  17. Darren Sproles
  18. Sammy Morris
  19. Cedric Benson
  20. Beanie Wells
  21. Ricky Williams
  22. Jason Snelling
  23. Carnell Williams
  24. Brian Westbrook
  25. Justin Forsett
  26. Michael Turner
  27. Maurice Morris
  28. Steven Jackson
  29. Ahmad Bradshaw
  30. Quinton Ganther
  31. Reggie Bush
  32. Laurence Maroney
  33. Tim Hightower
  34. Brandon Jacobs
  35. LeSean McCoy
  36. Julius Jones
  37. Jerious Noorwood
  38. Pierre Thomas
  39. Arian Foster
  40. Marshawn Lynch
  41. Michael Bush
  42. Mike Bell
  43. Felix Jones
  44. Larry Johnson
  45. LenDale White
  46. Chester Taylor
  47. Chris Jennings
  48. Glen Coffee
  49. Shonn Greene
  50. Brandon Jackson
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